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Apertia.ai
AI Inventory Management

Product Demand Prediction – Optimal Inventory Management

Accurate demand prediction. Optimal stock levels, minimal costs, no stockouts.

Uses historical data, seasonal fluctuations, and external factors (weather, holidays, marketing campaigns) for accurate demand prediction. Helps plan inventory, reduce excess storage, and prevent supply shortages.

Performance Metrics

12-24
Months of historical data
85-95%
Prediction accuracy
3-4
Weeks implementation
3-6
Months ROI
Real-time
Order recommendations
Problem

Suboptimal inventory management = losses and stockouts

Effective inventory management is crucial for e-shops

Without accurate demand prediction, companies face either excess inventory (high storage costs, expiration) or stockouts (lost sales, dissatisfied customers).

What's happening in your warehouse:

  • Seasonal fluctuations cause fresh goods surplus
  • Stockouts of certain items during key periods
  • Waste due to expiration or obsolete goods
  • High storage costs for excess inventory
  • Lost sales due to sold-out goods
  • Order decisions based on guesswork, not data
  • Customers encounter "out of stock"

Result: High storage costs, expiration losses, lost sales, low customer satisfaction, suboptimal cash flow.

Solution

AI models for high-accuracy demand prediction

AI models for product demand prediction analyze historical sales data, seasonal trends, marketing campaigns, and external influences. Based on this, they forecast future demand with high accuracy and help optimize inventory, reduce costs, and minimize stockout risk.

Advanced machine learning algorithms combine historical data, seasonal patterns, marketing calendars, and external factors for accurate demand prediction.

Technology: Machine Learning, Time Series Analysis, External Data Integration

Analysis

What the system analyzes

Historical sales data

  • Processes historical sales data (12-24 months)
  • Daily granularity for precise patterns
  • Trend and seasonal fluctuation analysis
  • Anomaly and exception identification

Seasonal fluctuations

  • Considers Christmas period and holidays
  • Black Friday and other major events
  • Weekly and monthly patterns
  • Annual seasonal cycles

Marketing campaigns

  • Analyzes campaign impact on demand
  • Discounts and promotional events
  • Historical impact of past campaigns
  • Prediction of planned campaign effects

External factors

  • Weather and climate conditions
  • Holidays and public holidays
  • Economic indicators
  • Customer behavior trends and patterns

Ready to optimize your inventory?

Get accurate demand prediction and optimize your inventory management. Contact us for a demo or consultation.

Get Demo
Key Features

What the system provides

1

Future demand prediction

Accurate demand prediction weeks to months ahead for each product. The model uses advanced algorithms to identify trends and patterns in data.

2

Order recommendations

Provides specific recommendations on what and when to order – based on predictions, not guesswork. Real-time updates based on current situation.

3

Stock level optimization

Recommendations for optimizing orders and stock levels to minimize costs. Ideal balance between availability and costs.

4

Stockout warnings

Alerts about potential stockouts before they occur. Proactive notifications enable timely response.

5

Surplus identification

Early identification of products at risk of surplus or expiration. Helps plan promotions and discounts to minimize losses.

6

Regular calibration

The model continuously learns from new data and is regularly calibrated. Accuracy increases with the amount of processed data.

Real-world Example

Food E-shop

Situation before deployment:
An e-shop sells a wide range of food products. During seasonal fluctuations, it struggles with surplus fresh goods while experiencing stockouts of certain items.
After deploying the predictive model:

Implementation results:

  • Significant waste reduction thanks to better demand estimation
  • Goods available throughout the season without stockouts
  • Inventory is better planned and turnover increases
  • Specific recommendations on what and when to order

Similarly, in the fashion segment, the model helps plan collections considering seasonal trends and variant availability.

Result: 40% reduction in expiration losses, elimination of key item stockouts, higher customer satisfaction.

Target Groups

Who is inventory prediction ideal for

Food E-shops

Demand prediction for fresh products considering expiration. Minimizing waste and optimal freshness.

Fashion E-commerce

Planning collections and size ranges according to seasonal trends. Preventing surplus at season end.

Electronics and Appliances

Inventory optimization according to product cycles and seasonality. Spare parts inventory management.

Cosmetics and Drugstore

Inventory management considering trends, campaigns, and seasonality. Optimization by expiration.

Case Study

Real deployment results

Food E-shop

After deploying the predictive model for a food e-shop, we significantly reduced expiration losses and eliminated key item stockouts during seasonal peaks.

-40%
Expiration losses
0
Key item stockouts
Inventory turnover
Customer satisfaction
Use Cases

Use Cases

Food E-shops

Demand prediction for fresh products considering expiration.

Fashion E-commerce

Planning collections and size ranges according to seasonal trends.

Electronics and Appliances

Inventory optimization according to product cycles and seasonality.

Cosmetics and Drugstore

Inventory management considering trends, campaigns, and seasonality.

Sports Equipment

Prediction based on sport seasonality and weather conditions.

B2B Wholesale

Inventory optimization for distributors and wholesale partners.

Benefits

Key Benefits

Reduced stockout risk thanks to better future demand estimation
Higher customer satisfaction - no sold-out items
Specific data-based recommendations on what and when to order
Optimal stock levels - balance of availability and costs
Minimized excess inventory storage costs
No lost sales thanks to timely orders
Reduced waste - minimized expiration losses
Better cash flow - capital not tied up in excess inventory
Integration

Technical Integration

Warehouse Systems

  • WMS (Warehouse Management Systems)
  • ERP systems (SAP, Microsoft Dynamics, ABRA)
  • Custom warehouse solutions

Order Systems

  • E-commerce platforms
  • B2B portals
  • API integration

External Data

  • Meteorological data
  • Holiday and event calendar
  • Economic indicators
  • Marketing calendars
ROI

Return on Investment and Business Impact

MetricImpact
Expiration loss reductionUp to 40% reduction
Stockout elimination0 key item stockouts
Prediction accuracy85-95% after calibration
Inventory turnoverSignificant improvement
Storage costsReduced excess inventory
Customer satisfactionNo "out of stock"
Cash flowTied capital optimization

Benefit for your company: Accurate demand prediction enables optimal inventory management - reduced storage costs, eliminated expiration losses, and increased product availability for customers.

Implementation

Implementation Overview

Module
Demand Prediction
Implementation
3-4 weeks
Data Requirements
12-24 months history
ROI
3-6 months

Implementation Process

1

Data Analysis

Historical data quality and availability audit

2

Data Preparation

Data cleaning and structuring for model training

3

Model Training

AI learning on your historical data

4

Validation

Testing prediction accuracy on historical data

5

Integration

Connection to warehouse and order system

6

Launch

Production operation with ongoing calibration

Time to production: 3-4 weeks

Ready to optimize your inventory?

Get accurate demand prediction and optimize your inventory management. Contact us for a demo or consultation.

Frequently Asked Questions

What data do we need to get started?

Ideally 12-24 months of historical sales data with daily granularity. The more data, the more accurate the predictions.

How accurate are the predictions?

Accuracy depends on data quality and industry stability. We typically achieve 85-95% accuracy after calibration.

How long does implementation take?

Typically 3-4 weeks including data preparation, model training, and warehouse system integration.

Can we use it for all products?

Yes, the model works best for products with sufficient sales history. New products are predicted based on similar items.

How often is the model updated?

The model continuously learns from new data and recommendations are updated daily or weekly as needed.

Does the model consider marketing campaigns?

Yes, the model learns from historical campaign impact and can predict their effect on demand.

What if we have highly seasonal products?

The model is specifically designed for seasonal patterns and can accurately predict them even years ahead.

What is the return on investment?

Typically 3-6 months due to reduced storage costs, eliminated expiration losses, and increased sales.

Does it work for B2B?

Yes, the model works equally well for B2B wholesale with adjustments for specific ordering patterns.

Can we test it on our data?

Yes, we always do a pilot analysis on your historical data before full implementation.